This is the first in a series of NFL futures bets.
Each week I will review the current odds and try to find the best values for your money. Again, what we’re looking for is value.
This means that we probably won’t be taking any current favorites.
Check NFL Futures Odds on SI Sportsbook
Returning Player of the Year
Current odds on SI Sportsbook have Dak Prescott heavily favored at -350, and he should be the betting favorite.
Prescott has been phenomenal this season, bringing back to life a Cowboys team that looked like DOA after suffering his late season injury in 2020. He currently averages over 300 passing yards per game, with one rate. 71.3% completion (second best in the league), and the Cowboys lead the NFC East at 5-1.
The preseason odds had Prescott at +200, but now throws $ 350 to win $ 100 – No. I will pass. I pivot towards Joe Burrow at +650.
After a season-ending knee injury that included a ripped MCL and ACL in Week 11 of 2020, Burrow led the Bengals to a 5-2 start. Cincinnati are atop AFC North, tied with the Ravens, after a surprise 41-17 win over Baltimore. Burrow threw over 400 yards and three touchdowns, and the team looked electric.
Burrow is averaging 274 passing yards per game and a 69% completion rate in his second season. If the Bengals continue like this, you won’t see +650 after this week.
And if you like the Bengals …
Why not take them to the AFC North?
The Ravens are the favorites at -110, the Browns are stoned and +275 looks like a nice paycheck if Cincinnati can stay locked up.
Best regular season record
The Cardinals are the SI Sportsbook’s favorites at +300, and that’s a pretty good bet to make. But since they just lost JJ Watt, I want to find something that pays even better.
I turn to the Cowboys at +900. When you look at the Cowboys schedule, it looks like their toughest clashes are already in the rearview mirror. They have a lot of games against the NFC The least … uh … is … coming up, and I love that money on top of that.
Coach of the Year
Before the start of the season, I had my money on Brandon Staley.
When I placed this bet the odds were +1300 (insert a pat on the back here), but the line has moved significantly and Staley is the favorite at +400. If I could turn back time I would put my money on Kliff Kingsbury at +4500, but it’s at +600 today.
So I put my money on Sean McVay at +1000 instead.
The Rams are different with Matt Stafford at the helm and Cooper Kupp is enjoying a career year. If they can strengthen the defense, this team will be really great, and I think they will win NFC West.
Offensive player of the year
Derrick Henry is the current favorite at +300, and Kupp, mentioned above, is at +700. But the best quality / price ratio? Kyler Murray at +1200.
Murray has been phenomenal this season. He leads the league with a 73.5% completion rate and his QB rating is only surpassed by Russell Wilson, who will miss several games with a hand injury. No one expected the Cardinals to lead NFC West – let alone go undefeated until Week 8 – and I don’t see a weak spot for this offense considering all the guns.
We haven’t seen Kyler use his legs as we know yet, so I bet we could see some more athleticism going forward. Take this value while you can.
Check the odds on SI Sportsbook
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